COVID19 Forecast Dashbaord

 

This interactive model forecasts the COVID19 path for every country, US State, and US county. This model includes the virus impact on the US economy. It provides a means to understand how a virus spreads, the possible impact on mortality, and the possible need for ICU resources. See articles below for more details.

 

Disclaimer: The model is for informational purposes only and does not reflect actual events. All models are based on assumptions that do not necessarily predict the future. The models are not intended as a health policy tool. Visit the CDC for info.

Winter is
Coming

 

The US faces a stark choice as winter approaches. Seasonal factors provide an amplified environment for the virus to spread, while a fractured political discourse ensures an inadequate response. A national mask mandate and renewed social distancing to avoid further shut-downs is required. Time is of the essence.
 

An Opening to Repudiate

 

A bad opening foretells show cancellation. The egregious events transpiring in California, Florida, and Texas show the price of expediency over stoic resolve.

Pandemic
Prelude

 

The first wave is still underway and about to expand in the three most populous states. Targeted shutdowns by July 4th are expected.

Pandemic
Paths

 

Early opening could result in a tenfold increase of expected deaths versus the current path. How the economy reopens is key.

Economic
Epidemic

 

The economic epidemic is delivering uncertainty to such an extent that the equity markets fell at an unparalleled speed.

Countering
COVID19

 

The prognosis is grim. Millions of dead, overrun hospitals, and insufficient ICU beds for the seriously ill. Understand the choices.

San Francisco  |   Los Angeles  |  415-373-7152

 

©2003-2020 Capital Risk Management LLC

 

Capital Risk Management is a Registered Investment Advisor in California and may transact business there and in other states where it is notice filed or exempt.

Please note that although Capital Risk Management LLC is a Registered Investment Adviser, readers should be aware that registration with any state securities authority

does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Additional information about Capital Risk is available on the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov or

through the Broker Check at FINRA.

Strategy | Investing | Asset Allocation | Liability Driven Investing | Pensions | Endowments | Enterprise Risk Management | Financial Planning | Wealth Management

Disclosures     Terms of Use     Privacy Statement      Form ADV