COVID19 Scenario Forecast
This interactive model forecasts the COVID19 path for every country, US State, and US county. This model includes the virus impact on the US economy. It provides a means to understand how a virus spreads, the possible impact on mortality, and the possible need for ICU resources. See articles below for more details.
Disclaimer: The model is for informational purposes only and does not reflect actual events. All models are based on assumptions and does not necessarily predict the future. The models are not intended as a health policy tool. Visit the CDC for info.
An Opening to Repudiate
A bad opening foretells show cancellation. The egregious events transpiring in California, Florida, and Texas show the price of expediency over stoic resolve.
Pandemic Prelude
The first wave is still underway and about to expand in the three most populous states. Targeted shutdowns by July 4th are expected.
Pandemic Paths
Early opening could result in a tenfold increase of expected deaths versus the current path. How the economy reopens is key.
Economic Epidemic
The economic epidemic is delivering uncertainty to such an extent that the equity markets fell at an unparalleled speed.
Countering COVID
The prognosis is grim. Millions of dead, overrun hospitals, and insufficient ICU beds for the seriously ill.
